Central Intelligence Agency
Directorate of Intelligence
5 October 1977

IRAN IN THE 1980'S (Excerpt)

The Outlook

The Shah seems to have no health or political problems at present that will prevent him from being the dominant figure in Iran into and possibly throughout the 19 80s. His style of rule and his general policies will probably remain about the same unless dramatic developments in the international environment force him to make a change. The Crown Prince, who will be 20 years old and eligible to assume the throne in 1980, may emerge as a more significant figure. The amount of responsibility the Shah gives him will be an indication of whether or not he might step down some in his son's favor. So far the Crown Prince has been given only ceremonial duties.